Tuesday, April 07, 2009

Amber Alert

What is your risk from terrorism?

This article deals nicely with reality and the perceived and actual risks involved.

Here is a calculated and quantified view. (NB: PDF file)

Somewhere else I have seen an actuaries table that lists the 'terror threat' way down below the first place threat ... namely being shot by a policeman. The summary states something along the lines of 'The likelihood of being in the same neighborhood as a terrorist in the mainland US is so improbable as to be statistically insignificant'. They do go on to state that the likelihood of a large scale attack is higher although the wording is decidedly conservative and vague. Unfortunately I am unable to find the link again. If anyone else knows of this please let me know.

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